Showing posts with label globalization. Show all posts
Showing posts with label globalization. Show all posts

Sunday, January 17, 2010

The Great Reskilling

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Rob Hopkins has founded and popularaized the Transition Town movement. One of his ideas is The Great Reskilling. The basic idea is simple - the twin challenges of peak oil and climate change mean that society will change fundamentally, and this will in turn force each one of us to acquire new knowledge and skills. These "new" skills are often old skills; knowledge of how to do things in a world of drastically reduced access to energy, and incidentally leading to a much lower environmental impact. They include old craft skills, resource management and farming -- knowledge that was alive and widely distributed in society only two generations ago:

"Re-learning the skills that our grandparents took for granted, such as how to use hand tools, how to build our own structures, how to mend and make clothing, how to make our own medicine, how to forage, grow, preserve and store our food."

To some extent, The Great Reskilling is about turning the clock back. Not for dogmatic reasons ("technology is evil") or for romantic reasons ("everything was better in ye olde times"), but because the required direction of action - given coming (energy) resource scarcity and climate change concerns - is so obvious. And it is thus better to start acting now, rather than to wait until we have no other choice than to learn everything all at once. However, we should of course hold on to any and every technology that we can possible manage to maintain. From this perspective, it is clear that cars are not a sustainable transportation technology, and that resources for transporting people (in cities) already today should focus on rail traffic and bicycles, rather than wasting resources on building brand new roads.

A good text about the kinds of knowledge we all need to acquire outlines a long list which includes cultivation and storage of (part of) your own food, husbandry, sewing, carpentry, basic mechanical skills and much more. One could add many more things to such a list, for example basic medical knowledge. However, ultimately you end up with a long list of things which - until now - we have not had to concern ourselves with, becuase it has been so easy to go to the supermarket to buy our food, to buy a cheap (and fashionable) shirt if we get tired of the old one, and to buy a new tool as soon as the old on breaks (or we can't find it).

The problem with such a list is that it might feel overwhelming for an individual to get started. Indeed, you must have a strong will to take the first, and second, and the tenth step, when it is so easy to throw-away-and-buy-a-new, when there are so many "must-haves" and when popular culture distract us and steals our time. But reskilling is not just about the skills you need, but also about how to acquire them. Hopkins writes about "reskilling events" and the benefits of organizing or participting in such activities. Reskilling events:

- Teach people new (old) skills
- Bring people together, helping them to build networks
- Give strenght and convey a sense of "can do it myself" (as opposed to powerlessness)
- Create links between the generations when old skills are being taught to the young (or middle-aged)
- may result in physical manifestations which act as "advertisement" for the newly acquired knowledge

Hopkins' guess is that these events will initially be short courses, and that the ambition and the length of the courses may increase over time. Of course, many people could participate in these events/courses without having any deeper thoughts about potential/future needs for the knowledge they acquire - they just do it simply because they think it is fun and because they want to immerse themselves and learn something new. From these observations, I will make a detour to the ecovillage-to-be that I am involved in and then return to the topic of reskilling.

Since the beginning of May 2009, I am one of six co-owner of a farm with 22 hectares of land in Sörmland (just south-west of Stockholm). Much has happened since then and more will happen in the future. There are one hundred issues on various levels to discuss, decide on and implement (who fixes a broadband connection and who copies the keys, how do we keep track of which co-owner has been spending how much money on what and how much of which plants we should grow where, what policy should we have regarding land use etc.)

One thing we did during the summer was to arrange courses. These courses were about things we wanted to learn, and they were all in line with the push to reskill ourselves. Our thought was that if we have our own farm and want to learn practical skills, then why not carry out activities in the form of courses at the farm where others are also welcome to participate? We decided to organize three courses on our farm last summer. They were all open to the public and as it so happend, they all turned out to be successful:

- Building with natural materials (including clay, rammed earth, strawbales etc.)
- Permaculture Design
- Local Economic Regeneration

Here are brief summaries of the courses, from the most practical to the most theoretical:

"Building with natural materials" was about building with natural and locally occurring materials (clay, sand, straw, sawdust, cow dung). The course was practical, offering a hands-on experience of different building techniques. The goal of this three-days course was for the participants to build something concrete, but even more important, to learn about and try a variety of building techniques.

"Permaculture Design" was about creating/designing ecosystems for human benefit. The idea is not complicated, but the term permaculture (permanent agriculture) is most likely unfamiliar to most people. In permaculture, natural ecosystems are the model, and the goal is to "design" new ecosystems so that they produce food and other goods that are of benefit for humans. The basic ideas are well summarized here:

"Imagine a natural forest. At the top is a roof of tree crowns, beneath it small trees, large and small shrubs, herbs and land covering plants, as well as plants that primarily exist below ground level and climbing plants that occupy all levels. The production of organic material is surprisingly high in comparison with, for example, a wheat field, which consists of a single layer of about half a meter. Imagine what an abundance this forest would contain if it consisted of edible plants! It would greatly surpass the yield of the wheat field!"

[I don't have the original text, this is a translation back to English from the Swedish edition]

Unlike the other two courses, "Local Economic Regenertaion" was a theoretical course. The premise was that current economic theories have brought the capitalist economic system to the brink of a systemic collapse. As we pass peak oil, the period of cheap energy will end. Less energy means reduced production and the end of globalization and long transports. The trend will be towards local (regional, national) production of goods and services.

Based on this, how can we create local economic regeneration in an economy beyond growth? What should we switch to, and how? What can you produce that is profitable both today and after the coming changes? How can you initiate, finance and be a successful entrepreneur even if it becomes increasingly difficult to show a bank how you will be able to repay your loans (because of economic turbulence and questioning of old economic "truths")?

This brings the text back to where it started - to the ideas underlying the Transition Town Movement and the Great Reskilling. We, in our ecovillage-to-be, feel that we have done some of our share by arranging courses, and feel confident about continuing to organize other courses in the future (in fact, we organized another course two months ago, I might come back to that later). And there are many suggestions for new course topics: food conservation, building a root cellar, building houses with timber and stone, foraging for edible plants and herbs, brewing beer, beekeeping, aquaculture and so on. The list could easily become very long since there are lots of things that we would like to know more about.

Today, people participate in courses like these because they find them interesting and fun. Tomorrow, the kind of practical knowledge such courses provide may become a hard currency. As a bonus, you meet interesting people and extend you social network when you attend these courses!
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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Transportation free of charge

.Picture: Ryanair ad, offering to sell us 1 million airline tickts for 79 SEK or less (10 dollars or less) from Stockholm to a variety of European cities. The price corresponds to the cost of two (so-called) meals at McDonalds.


In the previous text I wrote, I suggested that we could - at least from a historical perspective - for all practical purposes regard energy as free or charge in today's society. As a special case of this it thus follows that also transportation is free of charge. That is the topic of this text, but it is written from a completely different perspective compared to the previous text, because the inspiration comes from a book about designing virtual worlds!

In medieval times, it was expensive to transport goods around Europe. Wine was a drink for peasants in France, but if you transported the wine to Scotland, it suddenly became a drink only for wealthy nobles. The cost of transporting wine the - to us - fairly modest distance from France to Scotland was so high that wine after such a trip immediately became a drink for only the very richest of persons. In medieval times, most products were simply not worth transporting for any longer distances and were instead produced and consumed locally. Also moving you own self (to travel) was "expensive" in terms of time, money and effort. It is not a coincidence that the French word for work, "travailler" has the same root as the English word "travel". To travel was time consuming, laborious and expensive.

In a virtual world (such as Second Life or World of Warcraft), there are no logical obstacles that stops you from immediately transporting goods or yourself from one end of the (virtual) world to the other. Actually, there is no physical "world" there in the first place, but rather just a large database that keeps track graphics and points of view, of where everything is and what is behind the next (virtual) hill. In some virtual worlds it is thus possible to immediately teleport yourself (and your possessions) from and to wherever, but most worlds are designed in such a way so as to impose artificial restrictions that make travel a little bit more time-consuming and laborious. Without distances that take (some) time to overcome, the geography of the virtual world would "collapse" and everything would be next-door to everything else. It then becomes rather pointless for the designers of the virtual world to spend time designing roads that will never be traversed and stunning vistas that will never be admired by anyone. There are also other (predominantly negative) implications of absence of (virtual) distances and geography that most desingers choose to avoid or restrict when designing virtual worlds. My point here though is that teleportation is technically feasible and argubly the most "natural" way to move in a virtual world, and that all travel and transportation could be free in such a world (immediate and at no cost).

Let us assume that these two models represent two extremes. At one end we have Europe in medieval times (very expensive transportation and travel) and at the other end we have a creation of imagination, a thought experiment that we call virtual worlds (free transportation and travel). The question is if travel and transportation today is more similar to medieval Europe or to virtual worlds? The answer is obviously that we are a lot closer to virtual worlds where travel and transportation could be completely free but for various game design reasons happens to instead cost (some).

Today we ship goods around the globe in staggering volumes without this increasing the price of the product to any significant degree. Where a factory is located on Earth in the era of globalization has little to do with transportation costs. The actual transportation of a barrel of oil from the Middle East to Europe or the United States contributes only with a price increase of a single dollars per barrel (and last year the price of that barrel fluctuated roughly between 50 and 150 dollars).

Furthermore, Ryaniar (see picture above) will fly me to 35 destinations from Stockholm and the ticket to almost two thirds of these destinations (in a dozen different European countries) costed 10 dollars or less last Christmas (including taxes and charges)! Is it physically possible to push prices lower? Have transportation and travel ever been as cheap as today? The answer to both questions is “no”, simply for the reason that 10 dollars for an airline ticket is so close to free that it makes no difference compared to a price of 5 or 3 dollars. Will transportation and travel continue to be this cheap in days to come? Well, no, of course not.

If we raise our eyes and adopt a historical perspective that extends a few hundred years back in time (before we found oil, before we started using large quantities of coal and before the industrial revolution began) we can again conclude that energy in modern society for all practical purposes has been, and still is free of charge. It thus follows that also transportation and travel is free today (at least from a historical perspective).

In what other society or era has it been possible for the least affluent members of a society to spend an evening babysitting or to rake leaves from someone’s lawn and use (part of) the proceeds to jump on a plane from Stockholm to Prague or Dublin? A one-way trip with Ryanair to these and some other destinations had a price tag of less than 3 dollars (30 SEK) last year before Christmas! Isn’t the world upside down when what I need in order to cook a dinner at home costs more than a flight to Berlin? The 16-year-old girl next door put a note in our mailbox the other day offering her services as a babysitter for an hourly rate of 8.50 dollars during weekends...

It’s not that I begrudge "poor" Swedes the opportunity to travel abroad, it's just that I think the situation is not stable or sustainable in the long run. If oil (and thus fuel and thus transportation) is no longer free, but instead begins to Cost Big Time - say, “only” three or four times more than today - the airline industry would crash and burn in every way possible except literally.

As more than 80% of the energy we use on Earth comes from non-renewable fossil fuels, what will happen when we during this century will have to gradually adapt step by step to making do with the energy that is created and re-created each year with the sun as the source (sun, waves, wind, hydro, biofuels)? The reasoning above and in the previous text give some clues as to the type of changes that lie ahead of us this century, and that will most probably start to reshape our lives already during the next decade...

PS. Should I take the opportunity to travel now while it is still inexpensive or should I refrain?


This text was originally published in Swedish on December 6, 2008.
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